Survey of Professional Forecasters
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This article is about the survey in the United States. For the similar survey in Europe conducted by the European Central Bank, see ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters.
The Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) is a quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts for the economy of the United States issued by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. It is the oldest such survey in the United States.
The survey includes an "anxious index" that estimates the probability of a decline in real GDP.[1]